Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 121.524882 139.797817 160.939455 187.460772 220.201024 259.777259 3.119893e+02
2025-04-06 96.229325 118.876244 147.827483 188.483486 245.695936 325.973919 4.523520e+02
2025-04-13 81.670990 105.606961 138.275587 187.853659 264.576991 385.377591 6.058393e+02
2025-04-20 74.166038 99.584844 136.236477 195.743306 296.126622 472.599427 8.475216e+02
2025-04-27 70.174227 97.503227 138.956675 210.726813 342.598653 602.705326 1.258573e+03
2025-05-04 63.438798 90.205385 132.238102 208.373408 357.235893 677.773194 1.607979e+03
2025-05-11 58.800171 85.445834 128.689649 210.528244 380.787536 782.432514 2.145878e+03
2025-05-18 53.934367 79.697844 122.594336 206.644080 390.552759 859.180907 2.692885e+03
2025-05-25 50.585275 76.034549 119.537138 207.923539 412.050842 978.720772 3.606112e+03
2025-06-01 47.519250 72.504546 116.220713 207.990574 430.752043 1102.051729 4.814198e+03
2025-06-08 44.429987 68.626389 111.781618 204.877976 440.657505 1204.600765 6.204301e+03
2025-06-15 43.441216 68.312408 113.942651 216.482818 493.670695 1502.436827 1.042042e+04
2025-06-22 40.206246 63.886271 108.054781 209.746651 495.754669 1616.319757 1.389728e+04
2025-06-29 38.079057 61.323476 105.619259 210.910105 523.236892 1879.961178 2.278158e+04
2025-07-06 36.004329 58.658471 102.642298 210.176370 544.870825 2147.749776 3.817077e+04
2025-07-13 35.003247 57.912749 103.516688 219.360390 604.943024 2737.133240 9.940433e+04
2025-07-20 34.696098 58.457854 107.185894 236.856476 706.474185 3863.603112 6.343088e+05
2025-07-27 32.907497 55.924020 103.798474 234.103816 726.336699 4399.764193 2.971790e+06
2025-08-03 31.641211 54.329092 102.332364 236.624153 771.211078 5347.026586 1.108359e+09
2025-08-10 30.028426 51.907481 98.719938 232.082192 782.100742 5973.012605 NaN
2025-08-17 28.918387 50.435577 97.163849 233.577820 824.140538 7242.623495 NaN
2025-08-24 27.810541 48.886298 95.264367 233.656194 860.014281 8672.481650 NaN
2025-08-31 26.581264 46.998893 92.372995 230.018529 874.558964 9861.177702 NaN